How did Li Li double his annual income?

Li Li is a blockchain investor with rich experience and professionalismIn August 2015, he passed the U.S. Chartered Financial Analyst Level 1 exam and participated in the “Blockchain Technology Training” organized by the Shenzhen Finance Association in June 2016.In May 2017, he passed the futures professional qualification certificate by using the knowledge he learned from the American Chartered Financial Analyst Level 1 qualification.In May 2019, he participated in a Python and financial engineering workshop by Ken Gleason, Vice President of Goldman Sachs Risk Management Department, and learned to use machine learning algorithms for data analysis and modeling, and learned to use VWAP (Volume Volume) Weighted average price) trading algorithm to reduce the impact of transactions

Li Linot only has professional skills, but also has rich experienceSince he started investing in Bitcoin and Ethereum in June 2016, he wrote in "This man made 12 times his investment in Bitcoin in 1 and a half years. What did he do right?" 》The article disclosed in detail the mental journey at that time. He reviewed his 6 years of blockchain learning and investment experience in the article "Li Li reviewed his 6 years of blockchain learning and investment journey" Investment experience

Li Li’s prediction accuracy is also very highHe used machine learning technology in artificial intelligence to build a model using Bitcoin's fundamental factors and market capitalization, and developed a Bitcoin trading early warning indicator that can predict the bottom of the Bitcoin bear market and the top of the bull market. The R-square of the model is as high as 90%.The accuracy of this model is very high and can help make more informed investment decisions.

Bitcoin and fundamental factor logarithmic model evaluation chart

Li Li’s investment strategy is also very successfulHe used historical data from April 14, 2014 to July 10, 2022 to backtest Bitcoin's long-term timing strategy. The maximum retracement rate was 34%, and the cumulative return rate was 568 times.

Optimal solution Bitcoin historical backtest performance

At the same time, he invested in Bitcoin based on the long-term Bitcoin timing strategy from July 2020 to May 2023, with a maximum floating loss of 30%, a cumulative return of 707%, and an annualized return of 113.7%.In comparison, Bitcoin’s maximum retracement rate during the same period was 75%, its cumulative return rate was only 215%, and its annualized return rate was only 51.8%.His firm investment performance has been very good, especially in the second half of 2020 and the first half of 2021. His firm cumulative returns were 76% and 89% respectively.Although in the second half of 2021, his cumulative return on real offers was -17%, in 2022 and the first half of 2023, his cumulative return on real offers reached 71% and 71.8%.

Cumulative return rate in the second half of 2020

Cumulative rate of return in the first half of 2021

Cumulative rate of return in the second half of 2021

Cumulative rate of return in 2022

Deposit Bitcoin on December 21, 2022

Sell Bitcoin on May 7, 2023

Cumulative rate of return in the first half of 2023

In general, Li Li has professional level, rich experience and high accuracy prediction ability, and his investment strategy is also very successful.If you are looking for a reliable blockchain investor, I believe he is a good choiceHe will continue to study and research hard to better serve my investors and achieve more success in future investments

If you follow the trading signal of making double the annual profit - trading Bitcoin, which is updated daily, your annualized rate of return is expected to be 100% based on the historical investment return rate, and you will realize double the annual profit.

The blue line in the above figure is the logarithmic curve of Bitcoin’s market value, and the yellow line is the predicted logarithmic curve of Bitcoin’s market value.The reason why a logarithmic curve is used to draw a graph is because the space of the logarithmic curve (that is, the upper and lower width) is relatively small and it is easy to observe the details. The space of the original curve is too large and the details cannot be observed.

It can be seen that the logarithmic curve of Bitcoin's market value fluctuates up and down around the predicted logarithmic curve of Bitcoin's market value, which is in line with the political economics theory that prices fluctuate around value.

The green line is the logarithmic deviation of Bitcoin market capitalization, that is, the difference between the logarithm of Bitcoin market capitalization and the predicted Bitcoin market capitalizationIt can be seen that the logarithmic deviation of Bitcoin's market capitalization is very regular. It fluctuates between -1.5 and 2.5. When the Bitcoin price is at the top of the bull market, the logarithmic deviation of Bitcoin's market capitalization also peaks, around 2.5. , when the Bitcoin price was at the bottom of the bear market, the logarithmic deviation of the Bitcoin market capitalization was also at a low point, around -1.5

The logarithmic deviation indicator of Bitcoin market capitalization is a trading prompt indicator. When the value of this indicator is less than -0.85, that is, the lower red line in the above figure, a Bitcoin buying prompt is issued, and buying is recommended until a Bitcoin selling warning is issued.It is recommended to buy spot Bitcoin and not buy long Bitcoin contracts, because Bitcoin contracts will be liquidated due to short-term declines.If you want to use leverage, it is recommended to get a loan from a bank, because a bank loan will not make you liquidate your position

When the value of this indicator is greater than 1, that is, the upper red line in the above picture, a Bitcoin sell warning is issued, and it is recommended to sell until the Bitcoin buy prompt is issued again.It is recommended to sell spot Bitcoin and not short the Bitcoin contract, because the Bitcoin contract will be liquidated due to a short-term rise.

If you want to use leverage, it is recommended to buy Bitcoin put options. The period should be close to 1 year, and the exercise price should be the current price. The reason for choosing close to 1 year is that the transition from a sell signal to the next buy signal is normal. Have 1-2 yearsThe bearish code is PUT. If a Bitcoin sell signal is issued on June 21, 2024, and the current price of Bitcoin is about $50,000, buy a Bitcoin put option. The code on the Deribit exchange is BTC -29MAR25-50000-PUT You can make trading decisions based on the value range of the logarithmic deviation of the Bitcoin market capitalization in the last day

The start date in the upper right corner of the above picture can be dragged to facilitate you to observe the values ​​of relevant indicators during the time period of interest. [/ri